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Nevertheless, as shown in the graph below, there is still a significant negative relationship between differences in projections and differences in bid values, implying that, despite teams in both leagues bidding on the same player , players will be worth less in leagues that project them to do worse. CBS, which manages another widely used fantasy football platform, provides their own projections for their leagues. Why the weaker relationship? These finding have a couple implications. Second, as will be discussed further in a future post , teams can use projections to anticipate other teams' draft picks, which can be used to model optimal drafting strategies. Fortunately, there are other cases in which that advice is different. After estimating the average bid value for CBS players, we can then compare differences in league projections to differences in bid values, just as was done with draft results. Looks like you've got a thing for cutting-edge data news. In this case, differences in projections have less of an impact on what teams are willing to bid for players than on when players get drafted. See all articles. Benn Stancil Chief Analyst. The relationship is even stronger if you eliminate the later rounds, which are mostly made of up of teams drafting backups and bench players. In other words, the draft order of wide receivers is nearly identical to the point projection ranking for wide receivers. By comparing the differences in CBS and ESPN point projections to the differences in average draft positions, we can estimate how much drafts are affected by these projections. Pick after pick, teams would choose the best available player at each position. However, as shown below, ESPN bid values are strongly correlated with average draft positions. Get the latest.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Spending money must make us think more carefully. Assuming CBS bids also closely mirror their standard draft outcomes, we can estimate bid values from CBS' average draft position data. In an auction draft, every player comes up for auction. Spending money must make us think more carefully These finding have a couple implications. An Interactive Map on Food Stamps. Adrian Peterson? {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Two weeks ago, we kicked off our fantasy season with a player draft. Each dataset was gathered a CSV. Ranking a player one spot lower within their position e. Though leagues sometimes have different scoring methods passing TDs are worth 4 points in ESPN leagues and 6 in CBS leagues , ranking players by position - as is done here - rather than comparing the nominal point projections should negate most of these differences. General Adapting to Changing Times. Possibly because CBS values are estimated, and possibly because auction drafts usually involve more experienced players who are less likely to simply follow league forecasts. Most leagues follow this pattern, in which fantasy owners tend to adhere to the player rankings provided by the league. Are Auction Drafts Different?